tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15502831351104272142024-03-13T21:10:47.316+01:00Hurricanes HunterUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger787125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-30104431394880735832023-06-19T19:33:00.002+02:002023-06-19T19:33:27.332+02:00CARTES SAT EN TEMPS REEL (clic to refresh)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<strong><span style="font-size: small;">A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</span></strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em><span style="font-size: small;">WHEATHER FORECAST</span></em></strong></div>
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<a href="https://hurricaneshunter.blogspot.com/">https://hurricaneshunter.blogspot.com/</a></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-16800652816437792042021-06-29T17:41:00.031+02:002021-12-07T10:01:25.784+01:00COVID-19 : VACCINEZ-VOUS<p style="text-align: center;"> <a href="https://vitemadose.covidtracker.fr/"><img border="0" data-original-height="454" data-original-width="678" height="134" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-EU4yCBhGIf9SJvjOe-2k4zR93KYqxgnev1R8fP-ow8TruBlGWUv_KX5fdlBFwLuHq6EdEmzKspQfL56244m9JJCjeiHhQ1aCaMyI39YEB0TX2C5MYEYoS3MlZyXeT47eXkFZcIGyz5Hh/w200-h134/visuel-actu-vaccin-covid.jpg" width="200" /></a></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://vitemadose.covidtracker.fr/">VACCINEZ-VOUS, MAINTENANT</a></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><b style="background-color: white; color: #0f1419; font-size: large; text-align: start; white-space: pre-wrap;">"La réanimation, vous ne savez pas ce que c'est, alors vaccinez-vous"</b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhdURQQvpIwJwPFo-i2xMQfChNvm133G7uaoA9UlWHdGoFpYvcrEWNDs8hVImAh_H0cXOnYkqfeRjS1HbeXhrdG860q0ngx8cgqqt1uPPUgNYNFq4Uso5X5Mu-IBPX1zaGarFzL-FMC3Kdb/s1909/Capture+toiletpaper.JPG">VACCINEZ-VOUS VITE ET NOMBREUX</a></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhdURQQvpIwJwPFo-i2xMQfChNvm133G7uaoA9UlWHdGoFpYvcrEWNDs8hVImAh_H0cXOnYkqfeRjS1HbeXhrdG860q0ngx8cgqqt1uPPUgNYNFq4Uso5X5Mu-IBPX1zaGarFzL-FMC3Kdb/s1909/Capture+toiletpaper.JPG">SINON BOBO ...</a></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhdURQQvpIwJwPFo-i2xMQfChNvm133G7uaoA9UlWHdGoFpYvcrEWNDs8hVImAh_H0cXOnYkqfeRjS1HbeXhrdG860q0ngx8cgqqt1uPPUgNYNFq4Uso5X5Mu-IBPX1zaGarFzL-FMC3Kdb/s1909/Capture+toiletpaper.JPG" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="991" data-original-width="1909" height="166" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhdURQQvpIwJwPFo-i2xMQfChNvm133G7uaoA9UlWHdGoFpYvcrEWNDs8hVImAh_H0cXOnYkqfeRjS1HbeXhrdG860q0ngx8cgqqt1uPPUgNYNFq4Uso5X5Mu-IBPX1zaGarFzL-FMC3Kdb/w320-h166/Capture+toiletpaper.JPG" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="v-image v-responsive shrink d-none d-md-flex theme--light" style="background-repeat: no-repeat; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.87); display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-grow: 0 !important; flex-shrink: 1 !important; flex: 0 1 auto; font-family: BrandonGrotesqueReg; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-height: 50px; max-width: 100%; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;"><div class="v-image__image v-image__image--contain" style="background-color: white; background-image: url("https://modelisation-covid19.pasteur.fr/_nuxt/img/pasteur-img.a0e84f3.png"); background-position: 50% 50%; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: contain; box-sizing: inherit; height: 50px; left: 0px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; width: 242px; z-index: -1;"></div></div><div class="separator" style="background-color: white; clear: both; font-family: trebuchet, "trebuchet ms", arial, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><strong><span>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</span></strong></div><div class="separator" style="background-color: white; clear: both; font-family: trebuchet, "trebuchet ms", arial, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><strong style="color: red;"><em><span>WHEATHER FORECAST</span></em></strong></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-60294430762562235082019-09-06T22:23:00.000+02:002019-09-06T22:40:23.776+02:00INVEST 94L ... PRÉVISIONS <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b>UNE CYCLOGENÈSE VERS LE 45W 48W ,WINDSHEARS FAIBLES, SST SUP A 29°C,</b></div>
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<b>PUIS UN PASSAGE SUR LES PETITES ANTILLES VERS LE 14 SEPTEMBRE 2019 </b></div>
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<b>EN CATÉGORIE 2 ...?</b></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-73723983905570237792019-09-06T11:21:00.002+02:002019-09-06T11:44:42.695+02:00INVEST 94L SOUS LE CAP-VERT ... PRÉVISIONS ...<div style="text-align: center;">
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-28850267227753984932019-09-01T15:32:00.000+02:002019-09-03T20:24:10.499+02:00DORIAN cat 5<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-13261861728273745632019-08-24T23:43:00.000+02:002019-08-25T00:36:12.801+02:00TROPICAL STORM DORIAN ... <div style="text-align: center;">
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<h3 style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15.4px; line-height: 1.2; margin: 16px 0px 0px; text-align: center;">
<u>NHC Storm Description for DORIAN</u></h3>
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">24 Aug 2019 - 21:00 UTC </span>...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2019 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Aug 24 the center of Dorian was located near 10.7, -49.1 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.</b><br />
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<b><span style="font-size: 14px;">mes amis Barry the Fish </span><span style="color: #1a2e3b; font-family: "helvetica neue" , "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.04rem;">Melton</span><span style="color: #1a2e3b; font-family: "helvetica neue" , "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: x-small; letter-spacing: 0.04rem;"> </span><span style="font-size: 14px;">et Steph Missri </span><span style="color: #1a2e3b; font-family: "helvetica neue" , "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: x-small; letter-spacing: 0.04rem;"> with The Green Ray at Sol Music Festival 2019</span></b></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-16633363590272920762019-08-24T18:47:00.000+02:002019-08-24T23:58:43.693+02:00WELCOME TO TD5 ...<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b>WHAT ELSE ?</b></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-370311421979131022019-08-23T21:37:00.000+02:002019-08-23T22:19:56.161+02:00NAISSANCE DE INVEST 99L DANS L'ATLANTIQUE ... UN DANGER POTENTIEL POUR LES PETITES ANTILLES ?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj56UwbrTY2n0VdrIGPHBe_tySNJRRn1Fuvl5IA82YKaJED73AIBqk_RKdhzP83J8LZtaejpKccsVhuzhzRbhZWV5nvxQ8IyDQFFeUGW-UltTB5ZtCfSWRuBiDos8b9hzTIvXOks0os65mu/s1600/tcmovieFinal.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="704" data-original-width="1054" height="265" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj56UwbrTY2n0VdrIGPHBe_tySNJRRn1Fuvl5IA82YKaJED73AIBqk_RKdhzP83J8LZtaejpKccsVhuzhzRbhZWV5nvxQ8IyDQFFeUGW-UltTB5ZtCfSWRuBiDos8b9hzTIvXOks0os65mu/s400/tcmovieFinal.gif" style="cursor: move;" width="400" /></a></span></b></div>
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span class="timestamp" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: , "arial" , "sans" , sans-serif; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;">As of 18:00 UTC Aug 23, 2019:</span></b></span></span></b></div>
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;">Location: 10.1°N 43.1°W</span></b></span></b></div>
<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"></span></span></b><br /></span></b>
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: nan kt</span></span></b></span></b></div>
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</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"></span></span></b>
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Minimum Central Pressure: 1012 mb</span></span></b></span></b></div>
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</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"></span></span></b>
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Environmental Pressure: 1014 mb</span></span></b></span></b></div>
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</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"></span></span></b></span></b>
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Radius of Circulation: 90 NM</span></span></b></span></b></div>
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</span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"></span></b></span></b>
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<b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><b><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Radius of Maximum Wind: 40 NM</span></span></b></span></b></div>
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Une SST sup à 29°C, des Windshears inf à 15kts, un début d'enroulement au Sud de l'organisation de Invest 99L ... des paramètres qui indiquent une possible cyclogenèse de ce système.</div>
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Les premières projections GFS lui font couper les petites Antilles autour de mercredi 29 août en tempête tropicale.</div>
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Sa trajectoire le fait passer sur la Martinique, une track plus nord reste possible.</div>
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Il faut s'attendre à des pluies fortes orageuses, une mer formée avec une houle cyclonique.</div>
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PRÉPAREZ VOUS !!! </div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
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<a href="https://hurricaneshunter.blogspot.com/" style="color: #003366; text-decoration-line: none;">https://hurricaneshunter.blogspot.com/</a></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-9857006856076323552018-09-25T22:14:00.002+02:002018-12-28T15:53:22.509+01:00Category 5 Super Typhoon Trami<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b>INCROYABLE DÉFINITION DES IMAGES</b></div>
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<b>BON COURAGE AU JAPON </b></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-69276019492512947822018-09-22T21:31:00.001+02:002019-04-13T23:21:20.432+02:00KIRK ...<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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YES</div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-28507583668996813042018-09-12T23:02:00.004+02:002018-09-12T23:32:23.475+02:00FLORENCE HÉLÈNE ISAAC JOYCE ET BIENTÔT KIRK DANS LE GOMEX ET UN DE PLUS ...<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b>BELLE REMONTADA A VENIR DE HÉLÈNE SUR JOYCE VENDREDI ET SAMEDI QUI DEVRAIT LUI FAIRE L’INTÉRIEUR ET PASSER EN PREMIER LA LIGNE D'ARRIVÉE PROVISOIRE AUX ACORES ... (ET VOUS TROUVEZ CA DRÔLE ???)</b><br />
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: "roboto" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><b>Vincent, François, Paul... et les autres (1974)</b></span></div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-5223679771246776232018-09-11T23:03:00.000+02:002018-09-11T23:47:40.139+02:00FLORENCE ISAAC<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUPqVeryPkS_cgRe8DRHU-leC5ISzHYakeApo4hJ_zdP1GFokfr1PqRcLqThfMm1zwV4w-GtAKA69H-_2eEmMDgivo8OXfxGtodJvrkpemSnTu4UTTLIHxh9l63HfljWnQoilVqDt5Dk1t/s1600/GOES16-CAR-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000+11+09+2018.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1000" data-original-width="1000" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUPqVeryPkS_cgRe8DRHU-leC5ISzHYakeApo4hJ_zdP1GFokfr1PqRcLqThfMm1zwV4w-GtAKA69H-_2eEmMDgivo8OXfxGtodJvrkpemSnTu4UTTLIHxh9l63HfljWnQoilVqDt5Dk1t/s400/GOES16-CAR-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000+11+09+2018.gif" width="400" /></a></div>
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<b>L'IMPACT DE FLORENCE SUR LES USA VA ETRE CONSIDÉRABLE, PAR SES PLUIES HOULE ET VENT.</b></div>
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<b>MAIS 2 MODELS EXTRÊMES ENVISAGENT DES SCENARIS ENCORE PLUS CATASTROPHIQUE ... UN FAIT FAIRE A FLORENCE UN 360° (UN TOUR SUR LUI MÊME), CAD PLUS DE 36H DE PLUIES INTENSE HOULE ET VENT DE 130KTS SUR LA MÊME ZONE (L’ATTERRISSAGE), ET L'AUTRE FAIT DESCENDRE FLORENCE VERS LA FLORIDE ... LE CHAOS LE CHAOS LE CHAOS ...</b></div>
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<b>LE MODEL OFFICIEL RETENU EST TOUJOURS CELUI QUE PROPOSE LE NHC, CAD PLEIN OUEST NORD/OUEST DANS LES TERRES.</b></div>
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<b>RESTONS EN LA.</b></div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-12100312234646675962018-09-10T21:34:00.002+02:002018-09-10T23:29:27.152+02:00PHOTO DE FAMILLE : FLORENCE ISAAC HÉLÈNE <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhA42R-5sLZ4K4DW9zO45evEs81cGQM5qfD5LnCv1BeGtqTtGY64hfR0L5R6-NCC-yt9vgVEgaEPGMpcD0tOQXwt6igiQmE06NRi3PnVVpWXlkBaVjS6TmdkQQQ3iLBzdq1TSLcoK22jLWB/s1600/ATLANTIC+10+09+2018.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="960" data-original-width="1600" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhA42R-5sLZ4K4DW9zO45evEs81cGQM5qfD5LnCv1BeGtqTtGY64hfR0L5R6-NCC-yt9vgVEgaEPGMpcD0tOQXwt6igiQmE06NRi3PnVVpWXlkBaVjS6TmdkQQQ3iLBzdq1TSLcoK22jLWB/s400/ATLANTIC+10+09+2018.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<pre class="western" lang="fr-FR" style="font-style: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #212121;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><b>L'Atlantique compte désormais trois ouragans en même temps: Florence, Hélène et Isaac. </b></span></span></pre>
<pre class="western" lang="fr-FR" style="font-style: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #212121;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><b>C'est la onzième fois que l'Atlantique a connu 3 ouragans et plus simultanément. </b></span></span></pre>
<pre class="western" lang="fr-FR" style="font-style: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #212121;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><b>Les autres années ont été 1893, 1926, 1950, 1961, 1967, 1980, 1995, 1998, 2010 et 2017.</b></span></span></pre>
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<b>FORECAST GFS MSLP ET 10m WIND SPEED DU PASSAGE DE ISAAC SUR LES PETITES ET GRANDES ANTILLES</b><br />
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<b>concert paul mccartney live from NYC le 7 septembre 2018</b><br />
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-70434001495282944942018-09-07T17:42:00.002+02:002018-09-07T22:23:08.056+02:00PIQÛRE DE RAPPEL ... <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b>4 DANS L'ATLANTIQUE NORD ...???</b></div>
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<b>ET LES RESTES DE GORDON SUR L'ARKANSAS</b></div>
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<b>J'AI LA TETE QUI TOURNE ...</b></div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-15612190963574780052018-09-05T19:09:00.002+02:002018-09-06T17:47:30.248+02:00INVEST 92L POUR LE NORD DES PETITES ANTILLES EN TEMPÊTE TROPICALE ? ET FLORENCE EN OURAGAN MAJEUR POUR LA COTE EST DES USA ?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b>LA MI-SEPTEMBRE EST LA PÉRIODE OU L’ACTIVITÉ CYCLONIQUE DANS L'ATLANTIQUE NORD EST LA PLUS IMPORTANTE DE LA SAISON.</b></div>
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<b>POUR PREUVE LES DEUX DERNIÈRES ONDES TROPICALES QUE MAMA AFRICA VIENT D’ÉJECTER, DONNANT NAISSANCE A FLORENCE PUIS A L' INVEST 92L. DEUX AUTRES ONDES SONT ENCORE SUR L'AFRIQUE EST LES FORECASTS LES INITIENT TOUTES LES DEUX AUSSI (PÊCHEURS DE CREVETTES). SANS OUBLIER GORDON DANS LE GOMEX.</b></div>
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<b>AUJOURD'HUI FLORENCE EST UN CYCLONE AFFICHANT UN 960 mb AVEC DES RAFALES DE 130 kts ( CAT 4 OURAGAN MAJEUR). LE MODEL EUROPÉEN PLUS AGRESSIF FAIT "ATTERRIR" FLORENCE AUX USA VERS LA CAROLINE AUTOUR DU 13 SEPTEMBRE EN CAT 3 OU 4. LE GFS FAIT PASSER FLORENCE LÉGÈREMENT A L'EST DES COTES AMÉRICAINES, 3 PETITS TOURS ET PUIS S'EN VA ... DÉJÀ VU CA QUELQUE PART L’ANNÉE DERNIÈRE ...</b></div>
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<b>INVEST 92L DEVENU UNE TEMPÊTE TROPICALE DEVRAIT PASSER UN PEU AU NORD DES PETITES ANTILLES AUTOUR DU 14 SEPTEMBRE, PUIS SA TRAJECTOIRE SERAIT PROCHE DES ILES DU NORD ... UN CLASSIQUE AUSSI.</b></div>
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<b>LA MÉTÉO EST UNE SCIENCE INEXACTE ET LA MARGE D’ERREURS DES FORECASTS A PLUS DE UNE SEMAINE N'EST PAS NÉGLIGEABLE, LA TRAJECTOIRE DE INVEST 92L DÉPEND EN PARTIE DU COMPORTEMENT DE FLORENCE DANS L'ATLANTIQUE ... </b></div>
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<b>MAIS IL NE FAUT PAS SOUS ESTIMER LES CONSÉQUENCES (EN PLUIES, HOULES, ET VENTS) DE CES SYSTÈMES SUR LES TERRES PROCHES.</b></div>
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<b>DONC ... PRÉPAREZ VOUS SI CE N'EST PAS DÉJÀ FAIT.</b></div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-10910415766100639102018-08-16T15:26:00.000+02:002018-08-16T20:04:07.858+02:00NAISSANCE DE INVEST 99L ...<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<span style="background-color: #efefef; color: #333333; font-family: "verdana" , sans-serif; text-align: left; text-indent: 20px;"><b>At 0600 UTC, 16 August 2018, TROPICAL WAVE INVEST 99 (AL99) was located in the North Atlantic basin at 9.3°N and 49.6°W. The current intensity was 25 kt and the center was moving at 15 kt at a bearing of 280 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1013 mb.</b></span></div>
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<b>Sur sa route, à venir, pour Invest 99L : des Windshear sup à 20 kts, une humidité faible et un SAL bien présent ...mis à part une SST sup à 29°... une cyclogenèse bien compromise pour ce pauvre Invest...</b></div>
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<b>Malgré tout, des pluies importantes et du vent fort en rafale toucheront les petites Antilles d'ici 48/72 heures .</b></div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-83010701468896640402018-08-10T22:16:00.002+02:002018-08-14T13:52:52.479+02:00RIEN ...<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDyb_alTkMQ" target="_blank">FORECASTS GFS DU 10/08/2018 AU 26/08/2018</a></b></div>
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<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDyb_alTkMQ" target="_blank"><br /></a></b></div>
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<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDyb_alTkMQ" target="_blank">RIEN ET RIEN</a></b><br />
<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDyb_alTkMQ" target="_blank">RIEN DE RIEN</a></b></div>
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<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDyb_alTkMQ" target="_blank">dormez en paix braves gens</a></b><br />
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<b>SSTA ... PANNE DE MOTEUR POUR UNE CYCLOGENÈSE</b></div>
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<b>DANS L'ATLANTIQUE TROPICAL ET LE GOMEX</b></div>
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<iframe allowfullscreen="" class="YOUTUBE-iframe-video" data-thumbnail-src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/Vet6AHmq3_s/0.jpg" frameborder="0" height="266" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Vet6AHmq3_s?feature=player_embedded" width="420"></iframe></div>
<b>ARETHA ...</b>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-79817219171755568352018-07-05T17:53:00.002+02:002018-07-05T17:59:30.691+02:00TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b>LA TD2 S'EST FORMÉE DANS L'ATLANTIQUE.</b></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b>ELLE VA RENCONTRER </b></span><b style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;">DANS LES PROCHAINS JOURS</b><b style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;"> DES CONDITIONS DÉFAVORABLES A UNE CYCLOGENÈSE (SAL, WINSHEARS...).</b></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b>ELLE POURRAIT MÊME SE DISSIPER AVANT D'ARRIVER SUR LES PETITES ANTILLES.</b></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b>NÉANMOINS DES AVERSES FORTES ET DES RAFALES DE 90 KM/H POURRAIENT IMPACTER CERTAINES DES ILES DES PETITES ANTILLES LUNDI 9 JUILLET 2018 ...</b></span></div>
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<b>At 1200 UTC, 05 July 2018, TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO (AL02) was located in the North Atlantic basin at 10.1°N and 40.8°W. The current intensity was 30 kt and the center was moving at 14 kt at a bearing of 270 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb.</b></div>
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<strong><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</span></strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">WHEATHER FORECAST</span></em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-24547958092996497492017-11-15T21:49:00.000+01:002018-03-15T22:36:14.395+01:002017 HURRICANE SEASON <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmPS90MtIdU_AeRXgfcUAIrGZjDS27weqS09btLWYEpRkcvRdaaeResA5u8CYkfcHW_Z0e4awBBgCy1gpZ0XbIzCjNO8XYkNVvcnOx6v9X8QaUZbG6NwPZ09rdlhurjiktSqtaNUg1tA-l/s1600/tranquille.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1000" data-original-width="1600" height="250" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmPS90MtIdU_AeRXgfcUAIrGZjDS27weqS09btLWYEpRkcvRdaaeResA5u8CYkfcHW_Z0e4awBBgCy1gpZ0XbIzCjNO8XYkNVvcnOx6v9X8QaUZbG6NwPZ09rdlhurjiktSqtaNUg1tA-l/s400/tranquille.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
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<b>La Mer de la Tranquillité sur la Lune ... je m'y repose en attendant la saison 2018.</b></div>
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<h1 class="title style-scope ytd-video-primary-info-renderer" style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); border: 0px; color: var(--ytd-video-primary-info-renderer-title-color, var(--yt-primary-text-color)); font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 2.4rem; margin: 0px; max-height: 4.8rem; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; text-align: center; text-shadow: var(--ytd-video-primary-info-renderer-title-text-shadow, none); transform: var(--ytd-video-primary-info-renderer-title-transform, none);">
<span style="font-size: small;">2017 HURRICANE SEASON AND SMOKE AND </span><span style="font-size: small;">DUST </span></h1>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">(White = smoke, Blue = sea salt, Brown = dust)</span></h1>
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Une activité cyclonique 2017 remarquable et destructrice</span></h2>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">Avec <strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">17 systèmes tropicaux baptisés</strong>, dont <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">10 ouragans</b> et <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">6 ouragans majeurs</b>, la saison cyclonique 2017 dans le bassin de l'Atlantique s'est révélée particulièrement active. Le nombre de systèmes cycloniques observés est <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">bien au-dessus de la normale</b> de ces 30 dernières années (12 tempêtes tropicales, 6 ouragans et 2 ouragans majeurs en moyenne).</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">Cela fait donc de la saison 2017 l'une des plus actives ; elle entre en effet dans le top 10 des saisons les plus actives.</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">La saison a commencé en fanfare avec plusieurs systèmes tropicaux baptisés dès la fin juillet. Mais c'est entre la fin août et la mi-octobre que le pic d'activité a été observé (ce qui correspond bien à la climatologique des ouragans dans le bassin Atlantique). Ainsi, les 10 ouragans observés se sont formés consécutivement entre le 6 août et le 16 octobre 2017 (Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irma, Jose, Katia, Lee, Maria, Nate et Ophelia).</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><img align="none" alt="" src="http://www.keraunos.org/img/actualites/fil_infos/2017/novembre/bilan-saison-2017-cyclones-ouragans-atlantique-irma-maria-harvey-saison-recap.png" style="border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; max-width: 100%; vertical-align: middle;" /></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: xx-small;">Trajectoires des systèmes tropicaux de la saison 2017 - The Weather Channel</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">Parmi les 10 ouragans, <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">6 ont atteint ou dépassé la catégorie 3</b> (stade d'ouragan majeur). Deux d'entre eux ont atteint la <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">catégorie 5</b> (<b style="box-sizing: border-box;">Irma </b>et <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">Maria</b>). Le pic de la saison s'est clairement établi en septembre. En effet septembre 2017 a été le mois de septembre le plus actif (depuis le début des observations) en terme d'activité cyclonique sur le bassin Atlantique. L'énergie cyclonique cumulée a battu un <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">record mensuel</b> à 175, soit une valeur près de 4 fois supérieure à la normale 1981-2010 d'après Philip Klotzbach :</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><img align="none" alt="" src="http://www.keraunos.org/img/actualites/fil_infos/2017/novembre/bilan-saison-2017-cyclones-ouragans-atlantique-irma-maria-harvey-saison-ace.png" style="border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; max-width: 100%; vertical-align: middle;" /><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /></strong></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">Toujours d'après les données fournies par le Dr Philip Klotzbach, la saison 2017 a connu <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">91,25 jours avec système actif baptisé</b> dans le bassin (record de 126.25 jours en 2005) dont <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">51.25 jours d'ouragan</b> (record 61.5 jours en 2005) et <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">19.25 jours d'ouragan majeur</b> (record 24.50 jours en 1961).</span></div>
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Des ouragans particulièrement destructeurs </span></h2>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">La saison cyclonique 2017 restera sans doute la plus destructrice dans les Antilles, aussi bien dans les Petites Antilles que dans les Grandes Antilles avec des îles totalement dévastées (certaines inhabitables, des dizaines de victimes et des milliards d'euros de dégâts).</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://www.keraunos.org/actualites/fil-infos/2017/septembre/ouragan-irma-saint-martin-saint-barthelemy-iles-vierges-bahamas-cuba-usa-septembre-2017-cyclone" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #e00513;" target="" title="">Irma</a>, </span>qui a ravagé le nord de l'arc antillais puis a poursuivi sa route vers la Floride, restera le système le plus puissant de la saison (et de ces dernières années) en terme de vents.</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><img align="none" alt="" src="http://www.keraunos.org/img/actualites/fil_infos/2017/septembre/ouragan-irma-saint-martin-saint-barthelemy-iles-vierges-bahamas-cuba-usa-septembre-2017-bandeau.jpg" height="223" style="border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; max-width: 100%; vertical-align: middle;" width="400" /></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">Peu avant, <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">Harvey </b>s'était rapidement intensifié dans le Golfe du Mexique avant de frapper le Texas et de générer un épisode pluvieux historique dans la région de Houston.</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><img align="none" alt="" src="http://www.keraunos.org/img/actualites/fil_infos/2017/aout/ouragan-harvey-texas-louisiane-usa-25-26-aout-2017-cyclone-bandeau.jpg" height="267" style="border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; max-width: 100%; vertical-align: middle;" width="400" /></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">Enfin, <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">Maria </b>a détruit une grande partie de la Dominique avant d'impacter Porto-Rico en générant des dégâts considérables est l'ouragan le plus puissant de la saison en terme de pression minimale.</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;"><img align="none" alt="" src="http://www.keraunos.org/img/actualites/fil_infos/2017/septembre/cyclone-ouragan-maria-guadeloupe-martinique-antilles-martin-saint-barthelemy-caraibes-septembre-2017-bandeau.jpg" height="211" style="border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; max-width: 100%; vertical-align: middle;" width="400" /></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">A eux trois, ce sont des <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">dizaines de milliards de dollars de dégâts</b> et <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">plus de 300 morts</b> (bilan sans doute sous-estimé en raison de l'incertitude à Porto-Rico).</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">Ces trois ouragans ont également battu de <b style="box-sizing: border-box;">nombreux records</b>, qui sont consultables sur les pages dédiées : <a href="http://www.keraunos.org/actualites/fil-infos/2017/aout/ouragan-harvey-texas-louisiane-usa-25-26-aout-2017-cyclone" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #e00513;" target="" title="">Ouragan Harvey</a>, <a href="http://www.keraunos.org/actualites/fil-infos/2017/septembre/ouragan-irma-saint-martin-saint-barthelemy-iles-vierges-bahamas-cuba-usa-septembre-2017-cyclone" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #e00513;" target="" title="">Ouragan Irma</a>, <a href="http://www.keraunos.org/actualites/fil-infos/2017/septembre/cyclone-ouragan-maria-guadeloupe-martinique-antilles-martin-saint-barthelemy-caraibes-septembre-2017" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #e00513;" target="" title="">Ouragan Maria</a>.</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: x-small;">Notons également quelques cas originaux : l'<b style="box-sizing: border-box;"><a href="http://www.keraunos.org/actualites/fil-infos/2017/octobre/cyclone-ouragan-ophelia-atlantique-irlande-royaume-uni-octobre-2017" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #e00513;" target="" title="">ouragan Ophelia</a></b> est devenu un ouragan majeur à une latitude très inhabituelle, près des Açores. Ophelia a d'ailleurs effectué sa transition extratropicale au large de l'Europe avant de frapper l'Irlande.</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><b>ARTICLE DE <a href="http://www.keraunos.org/actualites/fil-infos/2017/novembre/bilan-saison-2017-cyclones-ouragans-atlantique-irma-maria-harvey"> K</a></b></span></div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-74569158839774789582017-10-24T22:50:00.002+02:002017-10-24T22:51:24.937+02:00J'AI 60 ANS ...<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://78.media.tumblr.com/ec6cba5fea9fc272336b1d7e835743ba/tumblr_mm4wp4uTor1sprv31o1_1280.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://78.media.tumblr.com/ec6cba5fea9fc272336b1d7e835743ba/tumblr_mm4wp4uTor1sprv31o1_1280.gif" data-original-height="779" data-original-width="800" height="387" width="400" /></a></div>
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<b>et oui .... 60 ans ...</b><br />
<b>depuis 2 jours</b></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-12849546803664374122017-09-22T23:14:00.001+02:002017-09-22T23:44:54.521+02:00Un mois d'activité tropicale dans l'Atlantique résumé en 52 secondes<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-66197208810606024222017-09-16T23:36:00.002+02:002017-09-29T23:21:02.415+02:00MARIA <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b><u><span style="color: red; font-size: large;">PAGE SPÉCIALE HURRICANE MARIA</span></u></b></div>
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<b>MARIA 17 SEP 17 11:45 UTC</b></div>
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<b>MARIA ET LEE 17 SEP 17 16:00 UTC</b></div>
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<b>MARIA 19 SEP 17 19:00 UTC</b></div>
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<b>MARIA</b></div>
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<b>MARIA PASSAGE SUR LA DOMINIQUE ET LES SAINTES</b></div>
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<b><span style="font-size: x-small;">ET ENCORE UN GRAND BRAVO A MÉTÉO FRANCE DIVISION PRÉVISION ANTILLES-GUYANE POUR SON MANQUE FLAGRANT DE RÉACTIVITÉ ... </span></b></div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com12tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-39759490843290481752017-09-15T20:50:00.000+02:002017-09-20T10:48:39.614+02:00MARIA SUR LES ANTILLES LUNDI ... ??? UN DANGER REEL !!!!<div style="text-align: center;">
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<b>JOSE, INVEST 96, TD 14, 15 SEP 17</b><br />
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<b>L'invest 96L situé à 18h UTC le 15 septembre par 10.9N 43.6W rencontre des conditions favorables de genèse (peu de windshears, SST sup à 29°, humidité importante ...) et va se renforcer.</b></div>
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<b>Il est probable qu'il devienne au plus tard demain Maria.</b></div>
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<b>Une intensification rapide et brutale du système autour du 50W-55W (un Barbadien ?) apparaît dans les différents models de prévisions.</b></div>
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<b>Son intensité et sa trajectoire sont encore assez floues et restent à affiner, le HWRF faisant passer Maria mardi sur la Guadeloupe (et les îles du nord ) en Ouragan catégorie 4, le modèle européen sur la Martinique en tempête tropicale ...</b></div>
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<b>PRÉPAREZ VOUS</b></div>
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<b>Maria risque de laisser peu de temps pour se protéger !!!</b></div>
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<b>HWRF PASSAGE SUR LES SAINTES</b></div>
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<b>ECMWF</b><br />
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<b>GFS CURVE BOXPLOT</b><br />
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-32326028186828102612017-09-11T09:41:00.001+02:002017-09-11T09:41:12.580+02:00IRMA LINE-UP<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST2017</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1550283135110427214.post-56380099064217888022017-09-09T19:35:00.000+02:002017-09-09T20:09:13.070+02:00IRMA JOSE 9 SEP 17<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b>JOSE 9 SEP 17</b></div>
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<b>IRMA JOSE 9 SEP 17</b></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: roboto, arial, sans-serif;"><b>ISS Pass Over Hurricane Jose and Hurricane Irma 9/8/17</b></span></div>
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<strong>A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER</strong></div>
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<strong style="color: red;"><em>WHEATHER FORECAST</em></strong></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0