INVEST 91 DEVIENT TEMPETE TROPICALE TOMAS AU FORECASTS DE 5PM

VISIBLE

IR

DVORAK

VENTS DE SURFACE

En tout cas, ce système a un diamètre et une organisation qui correspond à un cyclone de début septembre, mais pas de fin octobre. C'est la première fois dans les annales qu'un tel système se forme aussi Sud et West pour une fin octobre ... encore un record !

Donc voici TOMAS ... pour le forecast de 5PM ... bien vu ... merci ...

240 PM EDT FRI OCT 29 2010

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE

SYSTEM...IS LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. DATA

FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE

SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON INDICATES A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH

WINDS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE IS FORMING. IF THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND

CONTINUES...THEN ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED ON TROPICAL STORM

TOMAS AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WOULD ALSO

THEN BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THERE IS A

HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL

CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT

15 TO 20 MPH.