mardi 20 décembre 2011
mardi 6 décembre 2011
EL HIERRO ERUPTION
Webcam with view of the (possible) eruption area @ the Las Calmas sea – image courtesy Cabildo El Hierro, Movistar and Telefonica
Webcam on La Restinga and the Las Calmas sea – image courtesy Cabildo El Hierro, Movistar and Telefonica
LAVE ... LES ROCHES LES PLUS RECENTES DE LA PLANETE
samedi 19 novembre 2011
jeudi 10 novembre 2011
mercredi 9 novembre 2011
mardi 8 novembre 2011
mardi 25 octobre 2011
HURRICANE RINA
500 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011
...RINA NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE WITH 100 MPH WINDS...
LOCATION...17.3N 83.6W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SW OF GRAND CAYMAN
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES
dimanche 2 octobre 2011
OPHELIA OURAGAN CATEGORIE 4
800 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
...OPHELIA INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AS IT PASSES
EAST OF BERMUDA...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...32.5N 62.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM E OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
samedi 1 octobre 2011
OPHELIA OURAGAN CATEGORIE 3
800 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
...OPHELIA BECOMES STRONGER AS IT MOVES FASTER TO THE NORTH...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...25.6N 63.0W
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
vendredi 30 septembre 2011
OPHELIA OURAGAN CATEGORIE 1
800 PM AST THU SEP 29 2011
...OPHELIA INTENSIFYING...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...21.4N 62.1W
ABOUT 770 MI...1235 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES
jeudi 29 septembre 2011
OPHELIA : RETOUR EN TROPICAL STORM
1100 PM AST WED SEP 28 2011
...OPHELIA A LITTLE STRONGER...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...19.4N 60.7W
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
PHOTO DE FAMILLE : TS OPHELIA ET TS PHILIPPE
mercredi 28 septembre 2011
OPHELIA : RETOUR EN TROPICAL DEPRESSION
500 PM AST TUE SEP 27 2011
...OPHELIA REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...17.6N 60.5W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
mardi 27 septembre 2011
lundi 26 septembre 2011
Latest Earthquakes in the World - Past 7 days
SEULEMENT 157 SEISMES DANS LE MONDE AU COURS DES 7 DERNIERS JOURS ...
ON A PAS VU CELA DEPUIS BIEN BIEN LONGTEMPS.
CURIEUX ?
dimanche 25 septembre 2011
OPHELIA SIMPLE BASSE PRESSION
500 PM AST SUN SEP 25 2011
...OPHELIA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...18.5N 60.9W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.82 INCHES
samedi 24 septembre 2011
SITUATION OPHELIA 5 PM VENDREDI
500 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2011
...OPHELIA STRENGTHENS AS IT WOBBLES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
03 GMT 09/21/11 12.2N 40.1W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/21/11 12.7N 41.8W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/21/11 13.0N 43.6W 60 1005 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/21/11 13.6N 44.7W 60 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/22/11 13.7N 46.2W 60 1000 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/22/11 13.4N 47.0W 65 994 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/22/11 13.6N 47.6W 65 994 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/22/11 13.8N 48.9W 65 994 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/23/11 14.1N 49.9W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/23/11 14.5N 51.0W 45 1004 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/23/11 14.6N 52.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/23/11 15.5N 53.8W 60 1001 Tropical Storm
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...15.5N 53.8W
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
03 GMT 09/21/11 12.2N 40.1W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/21/11 12.7N 41.8W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/21/11 13.0N 43.6W 60 1005 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/21/11 13.6N 44.7W 60 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/22/11 13.7N 46.2W 60 1000 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/22/11 13.4N 47.0W 65 994 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/22/11 13.6N 47.6W 65 994 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/22/11 13.8N 48.9W 65 994 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/23/11 14.1N 49.9W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/23/11 14.5N 51.0W 45 1004 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/23/11 14.6N 52.6W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/23/11 15.5N 53.8W 60 1001 Tropical Storm
vendredi 23 septembre 2011
SITUATION OPHELIA 11 PM JEUDI ... PFFFF
1100 PM AST THU SEP 22 2011
...OPHELIA WEAKENS...SUCCUMBING TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...14.1N 49.9W
ABOUT 820 MI...1315 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
SITUATION OPHELIA 5 PM JEUDI
500 PM AST THU SEP 22 2011
...OPHELIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...LIKELY TO WEAKEN SOON...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...13.8N 48.9W
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
03 GMT 09/21/11 12.2N 40.1W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/21/11 12.7N 41.8W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/21/11 13.0N 43.6W 60 1005 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/21/11 13.6N 44.7W 60 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/22/11 13.7N 46.2W 60 1000 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/22/11 13.4N 47.0W 65 994 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/22/11 13.6N 47.6W 65 994 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/22/11 13.8N 48.9W 65 994 Tropical Storm
mercredi 21 septembre 2011
SITUATION OPHELIA 5 PM : CHUTE DE LA PA 1000 MB
500 PM AST WED SEP 21 2011
...OPHELIA CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...13.6N 44.7W
ABOUT 1165 MI...1875 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
LES PROCHAINES 24H SONT IMPORTANTES.
LA MAJORITÉ DES MODÈLES FONT PASSER OPHELIA AU NE DES PETITES ANTILLES, MAIS QUELQUES UNS DONNENT UN PASSAGE PLUS PROCHE, MÊME UN CROISEMENT DES PETITES ANTILLES, EN OURAGAN CAT 1.
IL RESTE DONC UNE INCERTITUDE CONCERNANT LA TRAJECTOIRE D'OPHELIA, D'OÙ L'IMPORTANCE DES 24H/36H PROCHAINES HEURES. UN PASSAGE SOUS LE 15N-55W VENDREDI ET LE WE S'ANNONCERA "SPACE".
A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER ...
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
03 GMT 09/21/11 12.2N 40.1W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/21/11 12.7N 41.8W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/21/11 13.0N 43.6W 60 1005 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/21/11 13.6N 44.7W 60 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/21/11 12.2N 40.1W 40 1006 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/21/11 12.7N 41.8W 45 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/21/11 13.0N 43.6W 60 1005 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/21/11 13.6N 44.7W 60 1000 Tropical Storm
NAISSANCE DE LA TEMPETE TROPICALE OPHELIA
1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011
...NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...12.2N 40.1W
ABOUT 1585 MI...2555 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
mardi 20 septembre 2011
lundi 19 septembre 2011
SITUATION COCASSE DANS L' ATLANTIQUE
98L ET 99L SONT DANS L'ATLANTIQUE (DANS UN BATEAU).
99L TOMBE A L'EAU (30 KTS DE WINSHEARS NE PARDONNENT PAS).
QU'EST CE QUI RESTE ?
LA FUTURE OPHELIA ... PEUT ÊTRE ?
NAISSANCES DE INVEST 98L ET DE INVEST 99L, INVEST 97L DISPARAIT
PASSAGE POSSIBLE DE INVEST 98L SUR LES PETITES ANTILLES EN ONDE TROPICALE (FORTE ?) POUR LA FIN DE SEMAINE.
PAS BIEN MECHANT TOUT CELA
dimanche 18 septembre 2011
samedi 17 septembre 2011
vendredi 16 septembre 2011
FORECAST GFS DU 15 SEPTEMBRE POUR LE 24 SEPTEMBRE 2011
POINT DE DÉPART : UNE BASSE PRESSION SITUÉE VERS LE 8N-30W LE 19 SEPTEMBRE QUI SE RENFORCE EN TRAVERSANT L'ATLANTIQUE ET CROISE LE SUD DES PETITES ANTILLES EN DÉPRESSION TROPICALE OU TEMPÊTE TROPICALE VERS LE 24 SEPTEMBRE ...
EN CONSIDÉRANT L'EXACTITUDE DES FORECASTS DU GFS DEPUIS LE DÉBUT DE CETTE SAISON CYCLONIQUE 2011 ... A SUIVRE SUR HURRICANES HUNTER
jeudi 15 septembre 2011
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